Monday, November 10, 2025

The Global Rise of AI in Combat

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The Global Rise of AI in Combat and the Human Dimension of WarIn the skies above Nevada, a formation of fighter jets moved in a choreography that would have been unthinkable just a few years ago. The F-16s and F-35s were not only responding to commands from human pilots but were guided by an artificial intelligence system trained to manage aerial maneuvers, coordinate attacks, and anticipate threats. This was no simulation. It was the latest test in a series of Pentagon-led trials that placed AI in the role of air battle manager, directing some of the most advanced fighter aircraft in the U.S. arsenal. The milestone demonstrated that AI could now perform a task once thought exclusive to human commanders: orchestrating combat decisions in real time.

This transformation in warfare extends far beyond a single test flight. It represents a seismic shift in military doctrine and global power dynamics. Nations across Europe, Asia, and the Middle East are rushing to embed AI into their defense systems. Sweden and Germany recently partnered to test an AI pilot in a Gripen E fighter, a groundbreaking exercise that pitted the machine against a human pilot in mock dogfights. China has openly declared ambitions to integrate AI into its next generation of fighter jets and naval operations, while Russia has long promoted the use of AI in unmanned ground vehicles and aerial drones. In every major theater of power, AI is no longer confined to research labs. It is taking its place in live combat frameworks.

The strategic motivations are clear. AI provides speed, adaptability, and precision unmatched by humans alone. An artificial battle manager can process thousands of data points per second, integrating radar feeds, satellite imagery, and sensor arrays to produce tactical guidance faster than a pilot could analyze even a fraction of that information. In air combat, where milliseconds can decide survival, this acceleration offers a decisive edge. The U.S. Air Force envisions AI not as a replacement for pilots but as a co-pilot, a “loyal wingman” guiding squadrons of drones while coordinating with manned aircraft. The F-35, with its sophisticated cockpit displays, has already been tested as an AI-enabled command node, a quarterback capable of directing drone swarms and relaying strategies across domains.

Yet this technological leap forces militaries to confront an equally critical dimension: the human aspect of machine-directed war. For pilots, soldiers, and commanders, the battlefield is no longer experienced only through direct engagement but mediated through algorithms. The stress of making lethal decisions has shifted. Where once a pilot weighed the consequences of a missile launch, now the burden lies in whether to trust or override a machine’s recommendation. This adds a psychological layer of uncertainty that reshapes military identity and responsibility.

The integration of AI into combat systems also reframes the ethics of war. Traditional Just War theory rests on principles such as proportionality, accountability, and discrimination between combatants and civilians. AI complicates these frameworks. If an AI system misidentifies a target or makes a tactical choice that leads to civilian casualties, who bears responsibility—the human operator who authorized the system, the developer who programmed it, or the institution that deployed it? Military researchers increasingly stress the importance of embedding AI in governance structures that preserve human accountability. Concepts like “explainable AI” are no longer academic exercises; they are moral imperatives in warfare where transparency and traceability must underpin lethal decisions.

Military AI spending by Country
Military AI spending by Country

The U.S. military is addressing these concerns through initiatives such as JADC2, or Joint All-Domain Command and Control, an ambitious project designed to integrate sensors and weapons across all branches of the armed forces under a unified, AI-powered decision system. The framework emphasizes human-machine teaming, where humans retain ultimate command authority while AI provides recommendations at the speed of battle. This model is echoed by allies such as Australia and the United Kingdom, both investing heavily in autonomous aerial systems designed to complement human pilots.

European initiatives reflect a similar philosophy. The AI-driven Gripen test was not intended to eliminate human pilots but to measure how AI might extend their capabilities. German officials emphasized that human oversight would remain central, describing AI as an assistant capable of executing maneuvers, not a commander making unsupervised decisions. India has launched its own AI-in-defense initiatives, aiming to deploy machine learning systems in air surveillance and combat support. Israel, long a leader in unmanned aerial systems, has already integrated AI into targeting software, enhancing the responsiveness of its defense forces in contested regions.

China’s approach is more aggressive. Beijing has poured billions into AI defense research, prioritizing drone swarms, hypersonic missile coordination, and AI-assisted cyber warfare. The nation’s stated goal of achieving “intelligentized warfare” by 2030 underscores the scale of its ambition: a military infrastructure where AI permeates every layer, from logistics to battlefield command. Russia, though less transparent, has tested AI-driven combat drones in Syria and continues to integrate autonomous features into its tanks and aircraft. These moves illustrate a global race where AI is no longer a peripheral tool but a core determinant of military power.

The implications for international stability are stark. The integration of AI into military systems reduces decision time and raises the risk of accidental escalation. In a crisis scenario, where two AI systems misinterpret signals and respond with aggressive maneuvers, the space for human diplomacy narrows. Leaders and strategists fear a “flash war,” where machines push adversaries into conflict before humans can intervene. For this reason, international organizations and ethicists are urging the development of treaties and protocols to govern AI in warfare, echoing earlier arms control efforts that addressed nuclear weapons.

Despite these risks, advocates argue that AI could also make warfare more precise and less destructive. Autonomous drones can undertake dangerous missions without risking human pilots. AI systems can identify targets with greater accuracy than stressed soldiers, potentially reducing collateral damage. In this framing, AI becomes not a tool of escalation but a safeguard against the fog of war. Proponents point to recent U.S. exercises where AI directed defensive maneuvers more efficiently than human commanders, neutralizing simulated threats with fewer resources. If properly governed, such systems could make combat not only faster but safer for both combatants and civilians.

The human element, however, cannot be displaced. Military analysts emphasize the role of “integrators”—specialized officers trained to interpret AI outputs and guide their application. These individuals act as mediators between the algorithm and the battlefield, ensuring that human judgment remains at the center of decisions. Their work is less glamorous than piloting a jet but arguably more consequential, bridging the divide between machine logic and human values.

Public perception of AI in warfare also matters. For soldiers and citizens alike, the image of machines making life-or-death decisions evokes unease. There is a psychological distance created when killing is mediated through software rather than the human hand. Some ethicists warn that this distance risks desensitizing societies to war, making conflict politically easier to sustain. Others argue the opposite: that the visibility of AI-driven warfare could spark new debates about responsibility, ultimately strengthening public oversight of military decisions.

The history of warfare has always been shaped by technology, from the longbow to the tank to nuclear weapons. Each advance has forced societies to rethink the ethics, politics, and human costs of conflict. AI may be the most transformative of all, not because it adds a new weapon but because it challenges the boundaries of human agency. When machines are entrusted with decisions once deemed the pinnacle of human skill—dogfighting at Mach speed, coordinating fleets of drones, or selecting targets—the very definition of what it means to be a soldier changes.

In the next decade, the battlefield will increasingly be populated by hybrid teams of humans and machines. Fighter pilots will launch missions alongside autonomous wingmen. Naval commanders will oversee fleets where AI-driven submarines patrol contested waters. Infantry may advance with robotic support units providing reconnaissance and firepower. These developments promise to extend human capability, but they also force a reckoning with the responsibilities of leadership, the fragility of accountability, and the enduring need for human judgment.

What is emerging is not the disappearance of humanity from war but its reconfiguration. Machines may process data at unmatched speeds, but they cannot weigh the political, moral, and emotional stakes of combat. Only humans can do that. The challenge for militaries worldwide is not whether to use AI but how to ensure that its application amplifies human responsibility rather than erodes it.


Key Takeaways

  • AI has been tested directing U.S. fighter aircraft such as F-16s and F-35s, signaling a breakthrough in machine-assisted combat.
  • Militaries worldwide, including those in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, are integrating AI into fighter jets, drones, and command systems.
  • AI enhances speed and precision but raises ethical challenges around accountability, proportionality, and responsibility.
  • International stability could be threatened by AI-driven escalation, but governance frameworks may help mitigate risks.
  • Human integrators remain essential, ensuring that AI-driven warfare is guided by judgment, conscience, and accountability.
  • The global race for AI military dominance reflects both strategic necessity and profound questions about the future of humanity in war.

References

  • Reuters
  • Associated Press
  • Business Insider
  • The War Zone
  • Fox News
  • MIT
  • ArXiv

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